File
New Project
opens a dialog that lets you create a new project, assign it a name and description, and make it the active project.
Open Project
opens a dialog that lets you select and load a previously saved project.
Save Project
saves the current state of the system (including all the models fit to a series) to the current project catalog entry.
Save Project as
saves the current state of the system with a prompt for the name of the catalog entry in which to store the information.
Clear Project
clears the system, deleting all the models for all series.
Save Forecast
writes forecasts from the currently highlighted model to an output data set.
Save Forecast As
prompts for an output data set name and saves the forecasts from the currently highlighted model.
Output Forecast Data Set
opens a dialog for specifying the default data set used when you select "Save Forecast."
Import Data
is available if you license SAS/Access software. It opens an Import Wizard, which you can use to import your data from an
external spreadsheet or data base to a SAS data set for use in the Time Series Forecasting System.
Export Data
is available if you license SAS/Access software. It opens an Export Wizard, which you can use to export a SAS data set, such
as a forecast data set created with the Time Series Forecasting System, to an external spreadsheet or data base.
Print Setup
opens the Print Setup window, which enables you to access your operating system print setup.
Close
closes the Develop Models window and returns to the main window.
Edit
Fit Model
Automatic Fit
invokes the automatic model selection process.
Select From List
opens the Models to Fit window.
Smoothing Model
opens the Smoothing Model Specification window.
ARIMA Model
opens the ARIMA Model Specification window.
Custom Model
opens the Custom Model Specification window.
Combine Forecasts
opens the Forecast Combination Model Specification window.
External Forecasts
opens the External Forecast Model Specification window.
Edit Model
enables you to modify the specification of the currently highlighted model in the table and fit the modified model. The new
model replaces the current model in the table.
Delete Model
deletes the currently highlighted model from the model table.
Refit Models
All Models
refits all models in the table by using data within the current fit range.
Selected Model
refits the currently highlighted model by using data within the current fit range.
Reevaluate Models
All Models
recomputes statistics of fit for all models in the table by using data within the current evaluation range.
Selected Model
recomputes statistics of fit for the currently highlighted model by using data within the current evaluation range.
View
Project
opens the Manage Forecasting Project window.
Data Set
opens a Viewtable window to display the current input data set.
Series
opens the Time Series Viewer window to display plots of the current series. This is the same as the View Series Graphically
icon.
Model Predictions
opens the Model Viewer to display a predicted versus actual plot for the currently highlighted model. This is the same as
the View Selected Model Graphically icon.
Prediction Errors
opens the Model Viewer to display the prediction errors for the currently highlighted model.
Prediction Error Autocorrelations
opens the Model Viewer to display the prediction error autocorrelations, partial autocorrelations, and inverse autocorrelations
for the currently highlighted model.
Prediction Error Tests
opens the Model Viewer to display graphs of white noise and stationarity tests on the prediction errors of the currently highlighted
model.
Parameter Estimates
opens the Model Viewer to display the parameter estimates table for the currently highlighted model.
Statistics of Fit
opens the Model Viewer window to display goodness-of-fit statistics for the currently highlighted model.
Forecast Graph
opens the Model Viewer to graph the forecasts for the currently highlighted model.
Forecast Table
opens the Model Viewer to display forecasts for the currently highlighted model in a table.
Tools
Diagnose Series
opens the Series Diagnostics window to determine the kinds of forecasting models appropriate for the current series.
Define Interventions
opens the Interventions for Series window to enable you to edit or add intervention effects for use in modeling the current
series.
Sort Models
sorts the models in the table by the values of the currently displayed fit statistic.
Compare Models
opens the Model Fit Comparison window to display fit statistics for selected pairs of forecasting models. This is unavailable
if there are fewer than two models in the table.
Generate Data
opens the Time Series Simulation window. This window enables you to simulate ARIMA time series processes and is useful for
educational exercises or testing the system.
Options
Time Ranges
opens the Time Ranges Specification window to enable you to change the fit and evaluation time ranges and the forecast horizon.
This action is the same as the Set Ranges button.
Default Time Ranges
opens the Default Time Ranges window to enable you to control how the system sets the time ranges for series when you do not
explicitly set time ranges with the Time Ranges Specification window. Settings made by using this window do not affect series
you are already working with; they take effect when you select a new series.
Model Selection List
opens the Model Selection List editor window. Use this action to edit the set of forecasting models considered by the automatic
model selection process and displayed by the Models to Fit window.
Model Selection Criterion
opens the Model Selection Criterion window, which presents a list of goodness-of-fit statistics and enables you to select
the fit statistic that is displayed in the table and used by the automatic model selection process to determine the best fitting
model. This action is the same as clicking the button above the table which displays the name of the current model selection
criterion.
Statistics of Fit
opens the Statistics of Fit Selection window, which presents a list of statistics that the system can display. Use this action
to customize the list of statistics shown in the Model Viewer, Automatic Model Fitting Results, and Model Fit Comparison windows
and available for selection in the Model Selection Criterion menu.
Forecast Options
opens the Forecast Options window, which enables you to control the widths of forecast confidence limits and control the kind
of predicted values computed for models that include series transformations.
Alignment of Dates
Beginning
aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the beginning of the time
intervals.
Middle
aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the midpoints of the time
intervals.
End
aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the end of the time intervals.
Automatic Fit
opens the Automatic Model Selection Options window, which enables you to control the number of models retained by the automatic
model selection process and whether the models considered for automatic selection are subset according to the series diagnostics.
Include Interventions
controls whether intervention effects defined for the current series are automatically added as predictors to the models considered
by the automatic selection process and displayed by the Models to Fit window. When the Include Interventions option is selected,
the series interventions are also automatically added to the predictors list when you specify a model in the ARIMA and Custom
Models Specification windows. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates that the option is turned on.
Print Audit Trail
prints to the SAS log information about the models fit by the system. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates
that the audit option is turned on.
Show Source Statements
Controls whether SAS statements submitted by the forecasting system are printed in the SAS log. When the Show Source Statements
option is selected, the system sets the SAS system option SOURCE before submitting SAS statements; otherwise, the system uses
the NOSOURCE option. Note that only some of the functions performed by the forecasting system are accomplished by submitting
SAS statements. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates that the option is turned on.