PROC SPECTRA prints two test statistics for white noise when the WHITETEST option is specified: Fisher’s Kappa (Davis, 1941; Fuller, 1976) and Bartlett’s Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic (Bartlett, 1966; Fuller, 1976; Durbin, 1967).
If the time series is a sequence of independent random variables with mean 0 and variance , then the periodogram,
, will have the same expected value for all
. For a time series with nonzero autocorrelation, each ordinate of the periodogram,
, will have different expected values. The Fisher’s Kappa statistic tests whether the largest
can be considered different from the mean of the
. Critical values for the Fisher’s Kappa test can be found in Fuller 1976.
The Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic reported by PROC SPECTRA has the same asymptotic distribution as Bartlett’s test (Durbin,
1967). The Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic compares the normalized cumulative periodogram with the cumulative distribution function
of a uniform(0,1) random variable. The normalized cumulative periodogram, , of the series is
where if
is even or
if
is odd. The test statistic is the maximum absolute difference of the normalized cumulative periodogram and the uniform cumulative
distribution function. Approximate p-values for Bartlett’s Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistics are provided with the test statistics. Small p-values cause you to reject the null-hypothesis that the series is white noise.