Example 79.2 Analyzing Rankings of US College Basketball Teams
The data in this example are rankings of 35 US college basketball teams. The rankings were made before the start of the 1985–86
season by 10 news services. The purpose of the principal component analysis is to compute a single variable that best summarizes
all 10 preseason rankings. Note that the various news services rank different numbers of teams, ranging from 20 to 30 (one
of the variables, WashPost
, has a missing rank). And, of course, not all news services rank the same teams, so there are missing values in these data.
Each of the 35 teams is ranked by at least one news service.
The PRINCOMP procedure omits observations that have missing values. To obtain principal component scores for all the teams,
you must replace the missing values. Because it is the best teams that are ranked, it is not appropriate to replace missing
values with the mean of the nonmissing values. Instead, an ad hoc method is used that replaces missing values with the mean
of the unassigned ranks. For example, if a news service ranks 20 teams, then ranks 21 through 35 are unassigned. The mean
of ranks 21 through 35 is 28, so missing values for that variable are replaced by the value 28. To prevent the method of missing-value
replacement from having an undue effect on the analysis, each observation is weighted according to the number of nonmissing
values that it has. For an alternative analysis of these data, see Example 80.2 in Chapter 80: The PRINQUAL Procedure.
Because the first principal component accounts for 78% of the variance, there is substantial agreement among the rankings.
The eigenvector shows that all the news services are about equally weighted; this is also suggested by the nearly horizontal
line of the pattern profile plot in Output 79.2.3. So a simple average would work almost as well as the first principal component. The following statements produce Output 79.2.1.
/*-----------------------------------------------------------*/
/* */
/* Pre-season 1985 College Basketball Rankings */
/* (rankings of 35 teams by 10 news services) */
/* */
/* Note: (a) news services rank varying numbers of teams; */
/* (b) not all teams are ranked by all news services; */
/* (c) each team is ranked by at least one service; */
/* (d) rank 20 is missing for UPI. */
/* */
/*-----------------------------------------------------------*/
data HoopsRanks;
input School $13. CSN DurSun DurHer WashPost USAToday
Sport InSports UPI AP SI;
label CSN = 'Community Sports News (Chapel Hill, NC)'
DurSun = 'Durham Sun'
DurHer = 'Durham Morning Herald'
WashPost = 'Washington Post'
USAToday = 'USA Today'
Sport = 'Sport Magazine'
InSports = 'Inside Sports'
UPI = 'United Press International'
AP = 'Associated Press'
SI = 'Sports Illustrated'
;
format CSN--SI 5.1;
datalines;
Louisville 1 8 1 9 8 9 6 10 9 9
Georgia Tech 2 2 4 3 1 1 1 2 1 1
Kansas 3 4 5 1 5 11 8 4 5 7
Michigan 4 5 9 4 2 5 3 1 3 2
Duke 5 6 7 5 4 10 4 5 6 5
UNC 6 1 2 2 3 4 2 3 2 3
Syracuse 7 10 6 11 6 6 5 6 4 10
Notre Dame 8 14 15 13 11 20 18 13 12 .
Kentucky 9 15 16 14 14 19 11 12 11 13
LSU 10 9 13 . 13 15 16 9 14 8
DePaul 11 . 21 15 20 . 19 . . 19
Georgetown 12 7 8 6 9 2 9 8 8 4
Navy 13 20 23 10 18 13 15 . 20 .
Illinois 14 3 3 7 7 3 10 7 7 6
Iowa 15 16 . . 23 . . 14 . 20
Arkansas 16 . . . 25 . . . . 16
Memphis State 17 . 11 . 16 8 20 . 15 12
Washington 18 . . . . . . 17 . .
UAB 19 13 10 . 12 17 . 16 16 15
UNLV 20 18 18 19 22 . 14 18 18 .
NC State 21 17 14 16 15 . 12 15 17 18
Maryland 22 . . . 19 . . . 19 14
Pittsburgh 23 . . . . . . . . .
Oklahoma 24 19 17 17 17 12 17 . 13 17
Indiana 25 12 20 18 21 . . . . .
Virginia 26 . 22 . . 18 . . . .
Old Dominion 27 . . . . . . . . .
Auburn 28 11 12 8 10 7 7 11 10 11
St. Johns 29 . . . . 14 . . . .
UCLA 30 . . . . . . 19 . .
St. Joseph's . . 19 . . . . . . .
Tennessee . . 24 . . 16 . . . .
Montana . . . 20 . . . . . .
Houston . . . . 24 . . . . .
Virginia Tech . . . . . . 13 . . .
;
/* PROC MEANS is used to output a data set containing the */
/* maximum value of each of the newspaper and magazine */
/* rankings. The output data set, maxrank, is then used */
/* to set the missing values to the next highest rank plus */
/* thirty-six, divided by two (that is, the mean of the */
/* missing ranks). This ad hoc method of replacing missing */
/* values is based more on intuition than on rigorous */
/* statistical theory. Observations are weighted by the */
/* number of nonmissing values. */
/* */
title 'Pre-Season 1985 College Basketball Rankings';
proc means data=HoopsRanks;
output out=MaxRank
max=CSNMax DurSunMax DurHerMax
WashPostMax USATodayMax SportMax
InSportsMax UPIMax APMax SIMax;
run;
Output 79.2.1: Summary Statistics for Basketball Rankings from Using PROC MEANS
The MEANS Procedure
CSN |
DurSun |
DurHer |
WashPost |
USAToday |
Sport |
InSports |
UPI |
AP |
SI |
|
Community Sports News (Chapel Hill, NC) |
Durham Sun |
Durham Morning Herald |
Washington Post |
USA Today |
Sport Magazine |
Inside Sports |
United Press International |
Associated Press |
Sports Illustrated |
|
30 |
20 |
24 |
19 |
25 |
20 |
20 |
19 |
20 |
20 |
|
15.5000000 |
10.5000000 |
12.5000000 |
10.4210526 |
13.0000000 |
10.5000000 |
10.5000000 |
10.0000000 |
10.5000000 |
10.5000000 |
|
8.8034084 |
5.9160798 |
7.0710678 |
6.0673607 |
7.3598007 |
5.9160798 |
5.9160798 |
5.6273143 |
5.9160798 |
5.9160798 |
|
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
1.0000000 |
|
30.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
24.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
25.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
19.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
20.0000000 |
|
The following statements produce Output 79.2.2 and Output 79.2.3:
data Basketball;
set HoopsRanks;
if _n_=1 then set MaxRank;
array Services{10} CSN--SI;
array MaxRanks{10} CSNMax--SIMax;
keep School CSN--SI Weight;
Weight=0;
do i=1 to 10;
if Services{i}=. then Services{i}=(MaxRanks{i}+36)/2;
else Weight=Weight+1;
end;
run;
ods graphics on;
proc princomp data=Basketball n=1 out=PCBasketball standard
plots=patternprofile;
var CSN--SI;
weight Weight;
run;
Output 79.2.2: Principal Component Analysis of Basketball Rankings by Using PROC PRINCOMP
13.33640553 |
13.06451613 |
12.88018433 |
13.83410138 |
12.55760369 |
13.83870968 |
13.24423963 |
13.59216590 |
12.83410138 |
13.52534562 |
22.08036285 |
21.66394183 |
21.38091837 |
23.47841791 |
20.48207965 |
23.37756267 |
22.20231526 |
23.25602811 |
21.40782406 |
22.93219584 |
Community Sports News (Chapel Hill, NC) |
1.0000 |
0.6505 |
0.6415 |
0.6121 |
0.7456 |
0.4806 |
0.6558 |
0.7007 |
0.6779 |
0.6135 |
Durham Sun |
0.6505 |
1.0000 |
0.8341 |
0.7667 |
0.8860 |
0.6940 |
0.7702 |
0.9015 |
0.8437 |
0.7518 |
Durham Morning Herald |
0.6415 |
0.8341 |
1.0000 |
0.7035 |
0.8877 |
0.7788 |
0.7900 |
0.7676 |
0.8788 |
0.7761 |
Washington Post |
0.6121 |
0.7667 |
0.7035 |
1.0000 |
0.7984 |
0.6598 |
0.8717 |
0.6953 |
0.7809 |
0.5952 |
USA Today |
0.7456 |
0.8860 |
0.8877 |
0.7984 |
1.0000 |
0.7716 |
0.8475 |
0.8539 |
0.9479 |
0.8426 |
Sport Magazine |
0.4806 |
0.6940 |
0.7788 |
0.6598 |
0.7716 |
1.0000 |
0.7176 |
0.6220 |
0.8217 |
0.7701 |
Inside Sports |
0.6558 |
0.7702 |
0.7900 |
0.8717 |
0.8475 |
0.7176 |
1.0000 |
0.7920 |
0.8830 |
0.7332 |
United Press International |
0.7007 |
0.9015 |
0.7676 |
0.6953 |
0.8539 |
0.6220 |
0.7920 |
1.0000 |
0.8436 |
0.7738 |
Associated Press |
0.6779 |
0.8437 |
0.8788 |
0.7809 |
0.9479 |
0.8217 |
0.8830 |
0.8436 |
1.0000 |
0.8212 |
Sports Illustrated |
0.6135 |
0.7518 |
0.7761 |
0.5952 |
0.8426 |
0.7701 |
0.7332 |
0.7738 |
0.8212 |
1.0000 |
Community Sports News (Chapel Hill, NC) |
0.270205 |
Durham Sun |
0.326048 |
Durham Morning Herald |
0.324392 |
Washington Post |
0.300449 |
USA Today |
0.345200 |
Sport Magazine |
0.293881 |
Inside Sports |
0.324088 |
United Press International |
0.319902 |
Associated Press |
0.342151 |
Sports Illustrated |
0.308570 |
Output 79.2.3: Pattern Profile Plot
The following statements produce Output 79.2.4:
proc sort data=PCBasketball;
by Prin1;
run;
proc print;
var School Prin1;
title 'Pre-Season 1985 College Basketball Rankings';
title2 'College Teams as Ordered by PROC PRINCOMP';
run;
Output 79.2.4: Basketball Rankings from Using PROC PRINCOMP
Georgia Tech |
-0.58068 |
UNC |
-0.53317 |
Michigan |
-0.47874 |
Kansas |
-0.40285 |
Duke |
-0.38464 |
Illinois |
-0.33586 |
Syracuse |
-0.31578 |
Louisville |
-0.31489 |
Georgetown |
-0.29735 |
Auburn |
-0.09785 |
Kentucky |
0.00843 |
LSU |
0.00872 |
Notre Dame |
0.09407 |
NC State |
0.19404 |
UAB |
0.19771 |
Oklahoma |
0.23864 |
Memphis State |
0.25319 |
Navy |
0.28921 |
UNLV |
0.35103 |
DePaul |
0.43770 |
Iowa |
0.50213 |
Indiana |
0.51713 |
Maryland |
0.55910 |
Arkansas |
0.62977 |
Virginia |
0.67586 |
Washington |
0.67756 |
Tennessee |
0.70822 |
St. Johns |
0.71425 |
Virginia Tech |
0.71638 |
St. Joseph's |
0.73492 |
UCLA |
0.73965 |
Pittsburgh |
0.75078 |
Houston |
0.75534 |
Montana |
0.75790 |
Old Dominion |
0.76821 |